23 July, 2008

Category Archives: Sports Illustrated

An Offseason Snapshot of a Revolution’s March Onward

The volume and variety of news pertaining to Olie Kolzig’s departure from the Capitals last week was instructive in these new media times. When we at OFB verified that Kolzig’s home was listed for sale last Wednesday, which wasn’t a particularly difficult endeavor (all manner of such information, including taxes paid on a particular residential property, are a matter of public record), we got dinged by two members of the Capitals’ communications team, one in particular suggesting that the news’ arriving via “a blog” was, ipso facto, cause for its being disregarded.

Meh.

Nonetheless, lunches and face time with the old goalie were hastily arranged by old media on Thursday, and by Friday the news holdouts had their confirmation — the goalie indeed was pulling up his roots in town. The take-home point for someone like me last week was this: more time is needed to persuade select members of even an ahead-of-the-new-media-curve organization like the Caps that media times are-a-changin’.

Which brings me to this past Monday’s Washington Post, and Norman Chad’s column therein. Relying partly on the hackneyed trope of stuffing his column with reader questions and his witty rejoinders (aka lazy journalism), Chad addresses Zach from Ohio’s query, “Are bloggers journalists?” A straight, sober, and reasonably thoughtful reply would have been “Not really.” A really thoughtful reply would have gone along the lines of, “Not really, because journalists are fast becoming bloggers.”

Instead, Chad huffed, “Let me put it this way: Just because you start cooking rib-eye steaks on your George Foreman Grill doesn’t make you an executive chef.” It might also be said that a bad cook who pork chop shops at Dean and Deluca still serves up a lousy dinner.

An interesting thing to do at NHL games in the new media era is to make mental notes of old and new media present at say Caps’ games and compare the quality of products generated a day later. To a certain extent, some of the old guard are hamstrung by the unyielding dictates of convention — what I call formulaic sports journalism. Or: corporate writing. Get the time of the goals right. Be sure to acknowledge the left winger’s third straight game with a secondary assist. Fatten file with recorded jock-speak filler — irrespective of how mundane, cliche-ridden the reflection.

The adherence to this dying script is precisely the point of new media’s rise.

To be fair, the Caps have two print guys on the beat who carry off the conventions as well as can be expected. They’re quite good. What’s more interesting to me, however, is, in a relatively short period of time, the meteoric popularity of their online readership for their respective blogs. These readers, like us, might miss a game file or three along the way but daily, sometimes hourly, monitor these guys’ blogs, which often are treasure troves. There, away from the conventions, away from the rigid formula, we go inside the team, inside the sport. There the scribe’s personalized passion for the game at times comes to life. It’s prose with a Budweiser, and they’re buying. Their readers sure are.

Another distinction, perhaps: at times I skim the old media game files, sweeping through the inverted pyramid prose swiftly for any event my eyes on the game didn’t detect. However, I never skim that reporter’s blog files. I suspect I’m not alone in this habit.

Back within the formula, it isn’t always the athlete at fault for the poverty of reflection. If there are 60 questions directed at a hockey team by 14 reporters in 20 minutes of post-game access, irrespective of the city, irrespective of the prestige of the news outlet, I can assure you that 40-plus are of the “Did he or she really just ask that?” variety. Don’t take my word for it. Watch ESPNews and its revolving door rotation of intellect-numbing game pressers. Or if you’re really interested in surveying the limits of Darwin’s Theory, tune in to the Super Bowl presser the Tuesday of game week. That’s George Orwell’s Animal Farm come to life. Some reporters are just plain stupid; many more though are asking questions whose answers feed a script. Gotta file, gotta formulate.

I can assure you that when Greg Wyshynski is in the arena the last thing he’s looking to do is fill his recorder with jock-talk. Chatting with him during a game often is more entertaining than the product we’re there to chronicle. His is a creative mind ever abuzz with unconventional coverage ideas. And this is largely why his blog numbers, be they at Deadspin, the FanHouse, or now Yahoo Sports are the envy of those of every old media outlet in press row.

One of the reasons this “debate,” such as it is, about bloggers and reporters exists is because it itself is an old media convention. Like Andy Rooney, it persists, perpetually. It has a radioactive half life. It’s erroneously conceived, superficially analyzed, and nurtured by a whiff of controversy. Therefore expect it to be around still 24 years from now.

More interesting to me is the embrace of Washington’s hockey bloggers by big media’s online or alternative editions. Rare was the week during this past season that one of us wasn’t excerpted in Washington Post Express. Eric McErlain transitioned from blogging at his groundbreaking site Off Wing Opinion in 2006 to covering the NHL for NBCSports.com last season, and this year he’s doing the same for the Sporting News. Jon Press joined McErlain at AOL Sports last year. Wyshynski of course is a blogging man very much in demand.

Just in the last week I found promo snippets for two of my OFB files slotted into the NHL team pages at Sports Illustrated’s web site. There’s nothing sly or sinister about that — SI needs content for its hockey pages in the offseason, apparently, and they’ve come to regard lil’ ole OFB as a source. Readers who normally wouldn’t know about OFB are, thanks to the big slick mag site, getting a look at us.

Lest you think old media in its new configuration is gobbling up gifted writers and consigning them to the old marching orders know that all of McErlain, Press, and Wyshynski are blogging for their new employers. That appears to have been a business decision by big media.

Each passing week is bringing about a remarkable evolution in information dissemination and consumption, in sports, politics, public policy, you name it — and in the process, in a very healthy way, obliterating the confining limitations of the old guard and its tired old formulas.

Isn’t it great to be a hockey fan today and to possess a healthy appetite for quality coverage and analysis of your team and its sport and to have that appetite nourished by the breadth of new and old media we’re now seeing? Even in the summer. Ahead, more quality voices will get added to the online chorus while the dour defenders of the tired, outdated approach whither and recede. The Revolution continues.

Ovechkin’s Steel Smile

Richard Kiel- photo from Telegraph.co.ukSports Illustrated recently put together a side-by-side comparison of hockey players and their celebrity look-a-likes. Some of the celebrities are a little obscure, and there are a few that missed the mark, but overall, it’s not a bad effort. (The Andrei Markov vs. Rowan Atkinson comparison was especially entertaining.)

Capitals fans will be pleased to note that Mike Green and Alexander Ovechkin are represented in the lineup. Mike Green was compared to Channing Tatum, who apparently is a model-turned-actor. (Nice compliment for Green!) However, the suggestion for Ovechkin’s doppelganger is much more cruel. According to SI, Ovechkin looks most like the guy who played Jaws in the James Bond movies. Ouch. Well, it’s not all bad- perhaps Ovechkin can use those jaws of steel and take a bite out of the Flyers this weekend.

NHL Playoff Prognostications - Blind Man’s Bluff

Making predictions in any sport is a challenge—otherwise by now we’d all have bled the Vegas sports books dry and be jetting across North America to attend NHL playoff games. Oh, and I’d purchase a home in St. Lucia for the off-season (got to keep Mrs. OC happy).

We’ve discussed the frequent futility of preseason predictions before; yet, as you’ll see below, some more recent entries are similarly apocryphal, or at least wildly inaccurate. Yet, whether by stroke of luck or true insight, a few Nostradamuses (Nostramii?) hit the mark well enough to think that maybe, just maybe, there’s more to the prognostication game than a bits-and-bytes version of pin the tail on the donkey.

So now, a look back at Capitals-related predictions worthy of praise, as well as those that the authors wish were forgotten.

USA Today’s preseason NHL predictions were predictably awful. Nine of their panel of 10 “experts” awarded the Hart Trophy to Sidney Crosby; the lone trend-bucker picked Roberto Luongo. 10 of 10 were wrong on the Points Leader guess: 7 for Crosby, 3 for Joe Thornton.
None chose Washington to win the Southeast. Granted, the four Carolina picks were reasonable — after all, it was pretty darned close to correct — but not one of the analysts thought the Caps had it in them? Three supposed experts chose Atlanta, two Tampa, and one Florida. All wrong.

Lest we dwell too much on the negative, the Caps were dark-horse favorites for some. The Hockey News’ Adam Proteau was impressively prophetic, picking the Caps as his “worst-to-first division champ.” Proteau’s crystal ball was particularly translucent when he wrote:

Now, coach Glen Hanlon may not survive the season if Washington stumbles out of the gate as it tries to make all the new faces (including potential Calder Trophy candidate Nicklas Backstrom) fit in. Call it a hunch, but I bet they’ll jell into one of the league’s swiftest, most offensively dangerous teams . . . and drop many a jaw in the process.

John Buccigross of ESPN is now firmly aboard the Ovechkin bandwagon. Yet his preseason thoughts, as well as his revised predictions in January, showed little faith in the Capitals, predicting a 14th-place finish in both lists. “Eighty points should be the Capitals’ goal; they had 70 last season and at least they could go into next season knowing they improved.”

Terri Frei, also of ESPN, picked Sidney Crosby, Jaromir Jagr, and Eric Staal as his top three Eastern contenders for the Hart Trophy. Continuing with ESPN analysts but on the plus side of the ledger, Scott Burnside said on September 30, “The Capitals will finish third in the Southeast Division and eighth in the Eastern Conference.” Nice call, Scott.

I hesitate to bring up Hockeybuzz.com, the “entertainment” Web site, since Eklund and company constantly make wild predictions of all kinds with little regard for accountability (unless they get one right, of course). But it is worth noting that, in March, Eklund’s Eastern Conference predictions were still way off. He even used the old trick of making über-exact predictions to imply importance—which, by the way, apparently works when setting the sale price of your home as well.

Yet not one of Eklund’s predicted playoff ranks were correct, despite making the selections with only a month left in the season.

1. NEW JERSEY….108 2. MONTREAL…….107 3. CAROLINA……..101 4. PITTSBURGH….105 5. OTTAWA………..101 (46 WINS) 6. NY RANGERS….101 (43 WINS) 7. BOSTON…………94 8. PHILADELPHIA…88 9. FLORIDA…………85 10. WASHINGTON…84 11. BUFFALO………..83 12. TORONTO……….74 13. NY ISLANDERS..73 14. ATLANTA………..72 15.TAMPA BAY………62

Finally, we end with Sports Illustrated’s Allan Muir, who managed to be dead wrong and absolutely right in sequential paragraphs:

The player who’ll generate more highlight reel moments than anyone not named Crosby: Vincent Lecavalier (Lightning)
Look for the reigning Rocket Richard Trophy-winner to not only improve on last season’s totals — 55 goals sounds about right — but lead the league in those oh-so-close moments that force first-star performances out of opposing goaltenders.

Um . . . no. Lecavalier had a good year, but Ovechkin and Evgeni Malkin surpassed not only Lecavalier but Crosby as well, to the surprise of no one who’d actually watched them play.

Might want to keep a bag packed: Cristobal Huet (Canadiens)
The Habs are young and very promising, but this season will be about building towards that promise, not delivering on it. With Carey Price and Jaroslav Halak set to man the pipes for the next decade, Huet is a luxury with which the Habs can afford to part. His veteran services are likely to be in high demand after Christmas, at which point GM Bob Gainey can cash him in for a few more pieces of the puzzle.

Right on the money about Huet – except GM George McPhee took Gainey to the cleaners, so the return for Huet was less of a puzzle piece and more of an afterthought. And the #1 seed Canadiens may have something to say about “building . . . not delivering” on their promise this year.

Cover Boy (Again), and Farber Favorite

THN Ovechkin cover (click for larger image)

MediaLove for Ovie, as hinted at earlier, from both THN and SI. Speaking of SI, Eric McErlain over at the Fanhouse today picks up on that magazine’s Swimsuit theme this month with his coverage of AO’s new off-ice inspiration. Michael Farber, though, keeps his eye on the ice: 

“After signing the contract Ovechkin scored in 11 of his next 15 games as Washington battled for the Southeast Division lead. The left wing had his second four-goal game of the season, on Jan. 31 against Montreal, assisting on the Capitals’ other goal in a 5-4 overtime victory. (His highlight was not the winning goal but number 3, a wicked snap shot through the legs of defenseman Mark Streit that beat goalie Cristobal Huet high to the glove side from 42 feet.) In addition to the five points, Ovechkin sustained the fifth broken nose of his career, from a Francis Bouillon shoulder; recorded five hits; and took a couple stitches in his mouth after he was hit by a puck in the first minute. As pure hockey theater, his virtuoso performance might have been the greatest one-man show in the regular season in a decade.

- Michael Farber, SI.com

Success with the Press, Too

The Hockey NewsThe Capitals are expecting some prominent media coverage of the team’s winning ways next week. Alexander Ovechkin and the team will be the feature cover story for next week’s Hockey News. Also likely next week, a Michael Farber feature on AO and the team in Sports Illustrated.   

More immediately, Coach Boudreau chatted with Washington Post Online readers this afternoon. A transcript of it can be found here.

The THN cover will be Alex’s fifth on a standard issue, the sixth if you count an “All-Access Pass” special edition THN put out last year.

Update: Let’s toss an ESPN Boudreau Revival story from Scott Burnside into the mix.

The Shooting in the Dark Industry

Cup'pa JoeI greatly appreciate my bloggermate Orderedchaos’ initial survey of preseason prediction silliness. Outside of Entertainment Tonight, there can be little in this world as vacuous and vapid as “experts” engaged in summertime “prognosticating” about the performance of sports teams.

I’m a college football enthusiast, and there are at least a half dozen published preseason magazines on newsstands this month, all offering specific rankings for all 117 D-I college football teams. Each team has 85 scholarship players, with approximately 20 graduating and 20 newly arriving each season. Many returning players markedly remake their bodies over the offseason with increasingly sophisticated and effective physique-altering training regimens. They also mature. There are, additionally, widespread personnel changes among the ranks of teams’ assistant coaches every offseason.

All of these publications have their preseason forecasts put to bed long before players report for physicals for fall camp. In short, the variables of change in college football are staggeringly enormous from season to season, and yet few of them are reflected in these “forecasts.” Still, the editors of these magazines would have you believe that from their New York offices they can accurately, magically divine the fates of nearly 10,000 football players scattered across the country, most of whom they’ve never seen play.

It is with the same skeptical, dismissive eye that we ought to weigh NHL forecasts offered up in summer. These endeavors are franchises of fraud. That Sports Illustrated could label the ‘05-’06 Carolina Hurricanes a lottery loser and then watch them go on to hoist Lord Stanley seven months later should forever preclude the magazine from forecasting again. There’s getting it wrong and then there’s blindfolded dart-throwing. In the case of the ‘05-’06 NHL season, dart throwing would have aided SI.

Now to be fair, the league had been shut down the preceding season by the lockout. But even in the instances of uninterrupted competition, across sports, these forecasts are exercises in little more than slickly marketed, superficial guesswork. And they are unified in their being reliably wrong. They exist because they exploit the sports fans’ enduring and insatiable thirst to know what will lie ahead for their heroes. And they are partly fueled by the troubling intersection of modern sports and high-stakes gambling (on- and off line). The fantastic popularity of fantasy sports participation has also mushroomed the popularity of the forecasting industry.

As mindless diversion for beach chair reading, they do no real harm. But they take on a larger-than-life credibility as their rankings and rationales are echoed about message boards and blogs and picked up and regurgitated by the electronic editions of mainstream media outlets. Hockey in particular ranks among the most difficult of sports to forecast; it is why there’s so little action on it in Vegas. How do you wager on or forecast a goalie standing on his head? On some nights, you know, Kerry Fraser doesn’t bring his best evaluative acumen to the sheet.

The Capitals, a few early prognosticators have weighed in upon, will make only modest improvement in the standings this season over the previous two. They will miss the postseason again, we are told.

Such assessments can only be premised on this variable: the team’s free agents signings were nice or decent but not on the order of rink shattering. But no one can know how Nicklas Backstrom will adjust to hockey in North America on the smaller sheet and over 80-plus games in his rookie season. The difference between his notching say 47 points versus 67 points almost certainly determines the team’s playoff viability, but who is confidently able to tell us which tally will prove true?

Who among the soothsayers knows how much if at all the team is improved in the shootout? Will Kolzig hold up and perform at an elite level for at least say 65 games? And certainly the team’s young blueline must have been judged in a development vacuum, within which none of Steve Eminger, Milan Jurcina, Shaone Morrisonn, and Mike Green could appreciably improve over a year ago . . . else, joined by the improvements up front, the team would have to seriously flirt with the postseason, if not outright qualify.

Hockey, too, has its future shrouded in a marvelous mystery of the unknown impact delivered from abroad. Raise your hand if last summer you saw 40 goals in Alexander Semin’s 2006-07 arsenal. You probably had Petr Prucha down for 30 in his rookie season on Broadway, too. It is North American media offering up these rigid preseason assessments, none with any notion of what impact virtually every team will enjoy from its new imports.

Hockey prose is fine for inclusion in any Labor Day beach reading list, just know that if it’s marketed as new season forecast, it’s fiction.

Sometimes Cheaters Do Prosper

Allan Muir of Sports Illustrated recently spoke with Brett Hull about hockey rulebreaking. Hull is a self-proclaimed cheater who proudly flaunted the NHL’s blade-curve restrictions; he also discusses other ways players have bent or broken the rules for a competitive advantage.

While these transgressions pale when compared to performance-enhancing drugs and other woes currently plaguing baseball, basketball and football, Muir’s article still makes for an interesting read.

Anomalous Yes, but Hockey Honored in July Is Always Welcome

click for a larger image

Whoa — what’s this bit of Michael Farber insurrection on the cover of Sports Illustrated this week? We’re not sure Farber, one of hockey’s best reporters, had anything to do with it, but SI’s two-week issue now on newsstands dramatically and fabulously honors one of the greatest sports movies of all time — ‘Slapshot.’

It’s likely to rain on some fireworks displays tonight, and if it does in D.C., we’re gonna dust off the Old Classic and enjoy a fresh round of fresh-feeling laughter.

In or out of doors, have a safe and fun-filled 4th, patriotic puckheads.

New World Bloggerman and the Analog Press Corps

cupajoe.jpegHe picks up scraps of information
He’s adept at adaptation
Because for strangers and arrangers
Constant change is here to stay

He’s got a force field and a flexible plan
He’s got a date with fate in a black sedan
He plays fast forward for as long as he can
But he won’t need a bed
He’s a digital man

—”Digital Man,” Neil Peart

Bloggers’ row for Wednesday night’s game against San Jose included my good friend Eric from Off Wing Opinion and two new ones, Rebecca (aka Caps Chick) of A View from the Cheap Seats, and Rob of Random Reality Thoughts. Rebecca is a graduate of world-famous McGill University in Montreal. This made me nearly insanely jealous; I briefly asked her about the prevalence of hockey on campus and then assigned her the impossible fantasy honor of skating from class to class over the course of her four years there.

I was immersed in a quasi-crowded press box with these distinguished bloggers and print and broadcast press, and an ongoing discussion among us New-Age media folk was the pace and surety of change that Bloggerdom was leading. Rob was especially animated by and assured of this revolution.

“They (the Old media) still don’t get it,” he told me. “They’re merely adding layers of copy and paying lip service to the heart of the revolution.” I knew exactly what he meant. While there’s a vital common ground between the Old and New media with say professional standards of journalism — judicious fact-checking; getting quoted reflections accurately conveyed; exercising discerning news value judgments — that common ground swiftly disappears in vapor trails as the digital age demolishes conventional notions of beat coverage.

Principally with its edgy electronics and its passion prose.

Where Old Media has Dragnet’s Jack Webb seeking “Just the facts, ma’am,” the New is dealing in DNA evidence.

Rob then informed me of a startling bit of data: the planet apparently has 57 million registered bloggers. He asked me how many of them I thought had formal journalism training.

“At least 45 million would be without, I’d guess,” I replied. Interesting, though, that when I took a quick survey among us, three of the four had B.A.s in journalism and or real pro journalism experience in our pre-blogging careers. The unsupervised and untrained in their basements and in their pajamas with laptops libel didn’t quite apply in Blogger’s row this night.

The elder statesmen of Blogger’s row Wednesday, Eric and I chuckled at our Paleozic Era-like era of copy layout labor with “rulers and wax.”

Earlier, down in the press lounge, the four of us were lucky enough to share a dining table with an extremely hockey knowledgeable reporter from Sports Illustrated. He regaled us with his insider’s knowledge of some of the game’s leading personalities, but then he began a grilling of Eric and the Off Wing Opinion enterprise, and I was struck by the basic nature of his inquiries. SI of course has SI.com, which includes sports blogging, and the two entities share reporter staffing and copy. SI is Old Media, and this was an Old Media reporter, and even with the New brought inside the Old, and lodged there for some years, the culture of the change was still somewhat alien to him. As I thought about this I saw a parallel with the Washington Post’s recent efforts at playing blogging catch-up. Continue reading ›

USA 4, USSR 3

SI Sees a Sleeping Giant in the Southeast

Important findings are contained in Michael Farber’s February 5 essay “The South Has Risen” for Sports Illustrated. Farber, SI’s senior hockey writer, calls the Southeast “hockey’s best, most raucous division.” In his assessment of the Southeast’s rise from late ’90s laughingstock to today’s five-quality-team frenzy, he does point out some long-term issues that may prove too difficult for the division to surmount:

  • “Washington, which joined the NHL in 1974, still has emotional ties to old Patrick Division rivals like the Rangers [OFB note: see last Saturday night's Verizon Center attendance], Philadelphia Flyers and Pittsburgh Penguins, a team it met in the playoffs seven times between ‘91 and 2001.
  • “When asked to identify its biggest rival, most Lightning players named Philly, which Tampa faced in its first playoff series, in ‘96, and again in the ‘04 Eastern Conference finals.”
  • ” . . . hockey feels grafted to the Southeast cities. A game in Florida is like a passing summer squall: Ten minutes after it’s over, you’d never know it happened. Fans of Southeast teams are a subset in their towns. They might as well be 15,000 chess afficiandos or members of a book club . . .”
  • “The schedule, in which each team plays each divisional opponent a whopping eight times, is also less than ideal in these relatively new markets, which rely on fan bases made up heavily of transplants from the Northeast.”

Farber sees a lot to like in the Caps: “Washington is an old-time team — led by general manager George McPhee, a little guy who was pound-for-pound the NHL’s toughest player in the mid-1980s — that takes no gruff and sticks together like a mob family.”