OFB Season Preview

What would a band of hockey bloggers be without predictions for the new NHL season?

We don’t claim to possess either a crystal ball or spy’s eyes inside the training camps of 29 other clubs, but we thought it might be helpful to our readers to compile a list of offseason (and late last season) player movement, in a concise file, and have a little fun offering up none-too-accountable “Thumbs Up” or “Thumbs Down” forecasts for all 30 teams.

Basically, a team earned a “Thumbs up” if we thought its manuevering and maturation suggested that it’d improved upon its 2006-07 points total. Clubs that “stayed pat” or engineered boneheaded signings and/or inexplicable, high-end free agent farewells were awarded “Thumbs down.”

So we’ve provided everything “primer” a puckhead could need here.

Except the beer.

Team Comings Goings Youth is Served Verdict
Mathieu Schneider Selanne and Neidermeyer (for now?), Dustin Penner Bobby Ryan Thumbs Down
Eric Perrin, Ken Klee, Todd White Scott Mellanby, Shane Hnidy,
Glen Metropolit, Keith Tkachuk,
Denis Hamel, Eric Belanger,
Bryan Little (?) Thumbs Down
Glen Metropolit, Aaron Ward,
Peter Schaefer
Shane Donovan Matt Lashoff (?) Thumbs Down
Jocelyn Thibault Almost everyone Dan Paille, Drew Stafford Thumbs Down
Adrian Aucoin, David Hale,
Cory Sarich, Owen Nolan
Tony Amonte, Jeff Friesen,
Roman Hamrlik, Brad Stuart,
Andrei Zyuzin
Eric Nystrom (?) Thumbs Down
Matt Cullen Jack Johnson, Anson Carter,
David Tanabe
None Hmm . . .
Brent Spoel, Robert Lang,
Sergei Samsanov, Andrei Zyuzin,
Yanic Perreault
Michal Handzus, Adrian Aucoin,
Peter Bondra, Jason Cullimore
Jonathon Toews, Patrick Kane,
Jack Skille
Thumbs Up
Scott Hannan, Ryan Smyth, Ken Klee, Pierre Turgeon,
Ossi Vaananen, Patrice Brisebois
None Thumbs Up
Michael Peca, Jiri Novotny Brian Boucher, Bryan Berard Gilbert Brule, Derick Brassard (?) Hmm . . .
Todd Fedoruk Matthew Barnaby, Jon Klemm,
Eric Lindros, Ladislav Nagy,
Patrik Stefan, Darryl Sydor
Niklas Grossman Thumbs Down
Brian Rafalski, Dallas Drake Robert Lang, Todd Bertuzzi,
Kyle Calder, Danny Markov,
Mathieu Schneider
Igor Grigorenko Thumbs Down
Sheldon Souray, Joni Pitkanen,
Dustin Penner, Denis Grebeshkov,
Dick Tarnstrom
Ryan Smyth, Joffrey Lupul,
Petr Sykora, Jason Smith
Sam Gagner, Ryan O’Marra (?) Hmm . . .
Richard Zednik, Radek Dvorak,
Tomas Vokoun
Ed Belfour, Alex Auld, Martin Gelinas, Chris Gratton, Todd Bertuzzi None Thumbs Up
Brad Stuart, Tom Preissing,
Kyle Calder, Michal Handzus,
Ladislav Nagy
Mathieu Garon, Jamie Heward,
Tom Kostopoulos, Jamie Lundmark,
Aaron Miller
Jonathon Bernier, Jack Johnson Thumbs Up
Eric Belanger, Sean Hill, Manny Fernandez, Todd White Benoit Pouliot (?) Hmm . . .
Roman Hamrlik, Bryan Smolinski,
Tom Kostopoulos
Sheldon Souray, Radek Bonk,
Sergei Samsanov, Mike Johnson
Carey Price, Kyle Chipchura,
Andrei Kostitsyn
Thumbs Down
Martin Gelinas, Radek Bonk Almost everyone Ville Koistinen, Kevin Klein (?) Thumbs Down
Dainius Zubrus, Vitali Vishnevski,
Kevin Weekes, Karel Rachunek
Scott Gomez, Brian Rafalski Nicklas Bergfors (?) Thumbs Down
Bill Guerin, Mike Comrie,
Ruslan Fedotenko
Almost everyone Sean Bergenheim (?) Thumbs Down
Scott Gomez, Chris Drury Michael Nylander, Karel Rachunek,
Matt Cullen, Kevin Weekes,
Brad Isbister
Marc Staal, Ryan Callahan (?) Thumbs Up
Shean Donovan, Luke Richardson,
Denis Hamel
Mike Comrie, Tom Preissing,
Peter Schaefer, Oleg Saprykin
Nick Foligno, Brian Lee Thumbs Down
Daniel Briere, Joffrey Lupul,
Jason Smith, Martin Biron,
Scott Upshall, Kimo Timonen
Peter Forsberg, Joni Pitkanen,
Kyle Calder, Robert Esche,
Todd Fedoruk, Mike York
Braydon Coburn, Ryan Parent Thumbs Up
Alex Auld, Radim Vrbata,
Niko Kapanen, Mike York
Owen Nolan, Jeremy Roenick,
Curtis Joseph, Mike Ricci
Peter Mueller Thumbs Down
Darryl Sydor, Gary Roberts,
Petr Sykora
Eric Cairns, Joel Kwiatkowski,
Jocelyn Thibault, Michel Ouellet,
Nils Ekman, Josef Melichar
Kristopher Letang Thumbs Up
Craig Rivet, Jeremy Roenick Scott Hannan, Bill Guerin,
Vesa Toskala
None Hmm . . .
Paul Kariya, Keith Tkachuk Radek Dvorek, Dallas Drake,
Glen Metropolit, Jamie Rivers
Erik Johnson Thumbs Up
Michel Ouellet, Chris Gratton,
Jan Hlavac
Cory Sarich, Ruslan Fedotenko,
Eric Perrin
Karri Ramo (?) Thumbs Down
Jason Blake, Mark Bell, Vesa Toskala Jeff O’Neill, Michael Peca,
Yanic Perreault, J.S. Aubin
Jiri Tlusty (?) Thumbs Down
Brad Isbister, Ryan Shannon Bryan Smolinski, Brent Sopel, Jan Bulis, Rory Fitzpatrick, Luc Bourdon (?) Thumbs Down
Michael Nylander, Viktor Kozlov,
Tom Poti
Dainius Zubrus, Kris Beech,
Bryan Muir, Jiri Novotny
Nicklas Backstrom, Mike Green,
Tomas Flesichmann
Thumbs Up

Ice Girls of the NHL

Japers’ Rink let the Capitals’ limited season ticket survey out of the bag that once again broached the subject of “Ice Girls”. Neither OrderedChaos nor I received the season ticket survey, so we don’t know if it included more than the five questions mentioned by Japers’.

Although we have pondered the idea of Washington Capitals’ Ice Girls, we don’t know if this is a done deal or not. Most of the other teams have already held their tryouts. Is Washington behind the curve, so to speak? Or have super secret auditions already been held and ice girls are ready to hit the ice on September 8th?

In any case, we were curious as to how many other teams have such squads. The answers may surprise you.

New York Islanders Ice Girls

[update: Dan Steinberg is at Kettler and has not seen any “ice-based cheer persons”.]
[update 2: Dan Steinberg received confirmation from Nate Ewell, Director of Media Relations, that there will be no ice-based cheer persons roaming the Phone Booth this season.]

Knee-Jerks: Playoffs, 4/28 & 4/29

Some tight-checking, defensive hockey over the weekend, including the rise of a player I’ve never been a particular fan of.

  • Say what you want about his diving and his off-ice antics, but Sean Avery has been playing excellent hockey for the New York Rangers, in many cases being their best player on a given night. I’ll never be a fan, but props to his remarkable playoff performance so far.
  • kneejerk.jpg

  • The Red Wings surprised me on Saturday. I thought for sure that San Jose had asserted themselves, but the play of much-travelled Dan Cleary has them tied in a series I thought was definitely going the Sharks’ way.
  • It was close, but I think the video judges made an error on the disputed goal at MSG yesterday. The calls, in general, have been very odd in that series, and in the Sabres’ favor. I’m not an indulger in conspiracies, and I don’t think there’s any bias in the officiating, just some bad calls are being made, and they’re being called on the Rangers. The Sabres are a skilled, fast team, and that creates opportunities for the refs to call a penalty with only a split-second to make a decision. Buffalo Coach Lindy Ruff complaining about the officiating was out-of-line, if predictable.
  • Zubrus has really been throwing the body this series, though his hit on Jagr looked a little low to me.
  • I’ve liked Jonathan Cheechoo’s effort in the Detroit series.
  • Anaheim is big, physical, and skilled. Vancouver did a fantastic job stealing a game from them, but I can’t see them taking it from the Ducks. The Canucks got good games from Luongo, the Sedins and Naslund and still lost. That doesn’t bode well.
  • Martin Broduer looked like his old self on Saturday, which is bad news for Ottawa. The series is too close for me to strongly favor either team, but goaltending makes and breaks playoff series.

A fun hockey weekend, and it’s always nice when there’s an early game and an evening game, so you can catch both without staying up to 1 am. Back to the late-night grind tonight.

Knee-jerks: Playoffs Opening Night

And a fresh reminder why the NHL postseason is the most exciting and most grueling time in sports — and that’s just for the fans. Two overtime games, including a ruining-of-the-next-workday fourth overtime game in Vancouver, a more ‘tame’ second overtime game, a defensive contest and a goal-fest comprised the second season’s opening night.kneejerk

A few thoughts from the night’s contests:

  • The Ottawa Senators’ breakout could be used as a teaching video. Quick, crisp, and decisive.
  • It’s hard not to wonder how Marc-Andre Fleury will react to his first playoff start. He could go a long way to ridding himself of his reputation for cracking under pressure if he bounces back the rest of the series.
  • Speaking of goalies making their first playoff starts: Roberto Luongo of Vancouver’s evening? 76 shots faced, 4 goals allowed. It’s okay, Rob, they usually aren’t all this long.
  • Talk about knee-jerk: Scott Hartnell’s knee-to-knee hit on Jonathan Cheechoo — which undoubtedly merited Hartnell’s ejection, and a suspension is not out of the question — did serious damage to Cheechoo. He left the ice without putting any weight on that knee. Cheechoo would be a huge loss for San Jose. The Preds-Sharks rivalry just got uglier.
  • Chris Pronger logged a Herculean 30+ minutes last night, in a non-OT game. Ride your horses, indeed.
  • I do have a minor quibble with Versus’ coverage last night — they didn’t show the replay of a penalty in the Ottawa/Pittsburgh game in order to show their ‘Keys To The Game’ graphic. I know there is a storyline to sell, but coming out of a break might have been a better time to run that.
  • Always good to hear Joe B. calling a game.

An eventful night to start things off and help everyone reset their sleep patterns. With goalie heroics and letdowns, defensive lockdowns and offensive explosions, it’s the most wonderful time of the year.

The Hockey News Team Prospect Rankings

The latest issue of The Hockey News has ranked all 30 NHL team’s prospect systems. They have defined prospects as players under 22 years of age as of January 31, 2007. This ranking does not take into account any movement of players at the trade deadline. Note that three of the Caps’ Southeast Division rivals bring up the bottom-5 rear.

  1. Pittsburgh [Last Year’s Ranking - 1]
  2. Washington [7]
  3. Nashville [6]
  4. Los Angeles [10]
  5. Chicago [8]
  6. Boston [12]
  7. Anaheim [2]
  8. St. Louis [28]
  9. Montreal [17]
  10. N.Y. Rangers [19] (Continued)

Vegas Odds

Mrs. Gustafsson just returned from Las Vegas and brought me the Bellagio’s Odds to Win the 2007 Stanley Cup. I’ve combined that sheet with the one I picked up in November.

Odds to Win the 2007 Stanley Cup
Team Line as of
27 Feb 07
Line on
7 Nov 07
Opening Line
19 Jun 06
Anaheim Ducks 4/1 7/1 15/1
Buffalo Sabres 4/1 7/1 12/1
Nashville Predators 5/1 18/1 18/1
Ottawa Senators 7/1 8/1 5/1
Detroit Red Wings 8/1 8/1 6/1
San Jose Sharks 8/1 4/1 10/1
New Jersey Devils 9/1 10/1 8/1
Calgary Flames 10/1 18/1 12/1
Pittsburgh Penguins 10/1 12/1 75/1
Dallas Stars 12/1 6/1 10/1
Tampa Bay Lightning 15/1 30/1 20/1
Vancouver Canucks 15/1 20/1 20/1
Carolina Hurricanes 18/1 10/1 8/1
Atlanta Thrashers 20/1 18/1 30/1
New York Rangers 22/1 20/1 15/1
Toronto Maple Leafs 22/1 22/1 25/1
Minnesota Wild 25/1 8/1 50/1
Montreal Canadiens 28/1 15/1 20/1
Colorado Avalanche 35/1 22/1 18/1
Edmonton Oilers 40/1 18/1 15/1
New York Islanders 50/1 50/1 50/1
Boston Bruins 100/1 50/1 50/1
Phoenix Coyotes 100/1 80/1 40/1
Florida Panthers 125/1 50/1 40/1
St. Louis Blues 125/1 75/1 100/1
Chicago Blackhawks 150/1 75/1 75/1
Washington Capitals 150/1 75/1 75/1
Columbus Blue Jackets 200/1 75/1 50/1
Los Angeles Kings 500/1 50/1 25/1
Philadelphia Flyers 500/1 50/1 12/1

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What are the odds?

I recently returned from business travel to Las Vegas. While exploring the MGM Grand, I picked up a sheet titled Odds to Win the 2007 Stanley Cup. I’m not sure how frequently they update the odds, but this sheet from last week has the current line dated 7 November 2006.

Odds to Win the 2007 Stanley Cup
Team Current Line
7 Nov 06
Opening Line
19 Jun 06
San Jose Sharks 4/1 10/1
Dallas Stars 6/1 10/1
Anaheim Mighty Ducks 7/1 15/1
Buffalo Sabres 7/1 12/1
Detroit Red Wings 8/1 6/1
Minnesota Wild 8/1 50/1
Ottawa Senators 8/1 5/1
Carolina Hurricanes 10/1 8/1
New Jersey Devils 10/1 8/1
Pittsburgh Penguins 12/1 75/1
Montreal Canadiens 15/1 20/1
Atlanta Thrashers 18/1 30/1
Calgary Flames 18/1 12/1
Edmonton Oilers 18/1 15/1
Nashville Predators 18/1 18/1
New York Rangers 20/1 15/1
Vancouver Canucks 20/1 20/1
Colorado Avalanche 22/1 18/1
Toronto Maple Leafs 22/1 25/1
Tampa Bay Lightning 30/1 20/1
Boston Bruins 50/1 50/1
Florida Panthers 50/1 40/1
Los Angeles Kings 50/1 25/1
New York Islanders 50/1 50/1
Philadelphia Flyers 50/1 12/1
Chicago Blackhawks 75/1 75/1
Columbus Blue Jackets 75/1 50/1
St. Louis Blues 75/1 100/1
Washington Capitals 75/1 75/1
Phoenix Coyotes 80/1 40/1

Oh… and doubling down on 11 doesn’t always work.