05 September, 2008

Category Archives: Florida Panthers

Your Presence Is Requested - 2008-09 Washington Capitals Schedule

The NHL released the regular season schedule for all 30 teams today. The NHL will open its 91st season in Stockholm, Sweden and Prague, Czech Republic with a pair of games between the Rangers and Lightning in Prague and the Senators and Penguins in Stockholm on October 4th and 5th.

Washington Captials - secondary logoThe Capitals begin the season on the road in Atlanta on Friday, October 10th with the first home game the next day against Cristobal Huet and the Chicago Blackhawks.  Olaf Kolig visits the Phone Booth for the first time on November 10th.

This season’s schedule is under a new matrix that has each team to playing six games against each team in its division (24 games), four games against the non-division teams within its conference (40 games), and 18 non-Conference games — at least one game against each club in the other conference (15 games) and three home-and-home series against non-Conference teams.

Some schedule notes:

All thirty teams will be in action on the same day on Saturday,  October 25th.

The 2009 Winter Classic will take place on January 1st at Chicago’s Wrigley Field with the Blackhawks facing the Stanley Cup Champion Detroit Redwings.

The NHL All-Star Game will be held in Montreal’s Bell Centre on January 2tth.  Montreal will also host the 2009 Entry Draft on June 26th and 27th.

Hockey Day In Canada returns to its all-Canadian lineup on Februay 21st with Ottawa at Montreal, Vancouver at Toronto, and Calgary at Edmonton.

[Full Capitals Schedule after the break.]

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First-Round Flops Over the Years

No team can get it right in round one every year, even drafting very high. And at times all teams get it really wrong then. A survey such as this is a powerful reminder of the crapshoot that is selecting 18-year-old hockey players. However, it is also an invitation for fans to react with, “What the *@^* were you thinking?”

I’ve included picks made by the Whale with those of the Hurricanes, and of those made by the Nordiques in association with Colorado, to even out the survey period. No need however to add Winnipeg to Phoenix’s draft woes — the Desert Dogs know how to screw the draft pooch up high all on their own. Take a look:

Team Player Picked Comment Studs Selected After
Anaheim Stanislav Chistov (5th, 2001) The ‘07 Cup win offers serious salve for the Stanislav screwup Mike Komisarek, Pascal Leclaire, R.J. Umberger, Ales Hemsky, Mike Cammalleri
Atlanta Patrick Stefan (no.1, 1999) The ‘99 harvest wasn’t swell to be sure, but this still is a serious stinker The Sedin twins, Martin Havlat
Boston Lars Jonsson (7th, 2000) A good recipe for Swedish meatballs would have delivered more Brooks Orpik, Alexander Frolov, Anton Volchenkov, Niklas Kronvall
Buffalo Shawn Anderson, (5th, 1986) This was a Shawn of the Dead selection Vincent Damphousse, Brian Leetch, Craig Janney, Teppo Numminen
Calgary Bryan Deasley (19th, 1987) The Flames’ no. 1 from ‘86, George Pelawa, died in a motorcycle crash that summer, making this a two-year strikeout stretch John LaClair, Eric Desjardins, Mathieu Schneider, Stephane Matteau
Carolina/Hartford Fred Arthur (8th, 1980) No relation to Bea Arthur, except in NHL impact Paul Coffey, Brent Sutter, Craig Ludwig, Steve Larmer, Andy Moog, Jari Kurri
Chicago Tony Tanti (12th, 1981) Wirtz maybe thought he’d sign cheap? Al MacInnis, Chris Chelios, Mike Vernon, John Vanbiesbrouck
Colorado/Quebec Aniel Dore (5th, 1988) Who doesn’t own an Aniel Dore Nordiques’ sweater? Jeremy Roenick, Teemu Selanne, Rob Blake, Rod Brind’Amour, Martin Gelinas
Columbus Alexander Picard (8th, 2004) Inspector Clousseau isn’t going to look into this pick — he made it Alexander Radulov, Drew Stafford, Andrej Meszaros, Wojtek Wolski
Dallas Jason Bacashihua (26th, 2001) Played with the ECHL’s Johnston Chiefs in ‘07-08, which for a first-rounder seven years after being drafted is a fairly moderate pace of development Derek Roy, Fedor Tyutin, Mike Cammalleri, Jason Pominville, Dave Steckel
Detroit Shawn Burr (7th, 1984) I thought briefly of exluding the Wings from this exercise, they draft so well, and you have to go back a bit to find a serious screwup Shane Corson, Sylvain Cote, Gary Roberts, Kevin Hatcher, Scott Mellanby
Edmonton Marc-Antoine Pouliot (22nd, 2003) Overlooked this scouting report by the rest of the league: “Thin, weak, won’t hit or backcheck or play in traffic. Other than that, he’s dandy.” Mike Richards, Corey Perry, Patrice Bergeron, Matt Carle
Florida Petr Taticek (9th, 2002) Why no postseasons in Sunrise, Cats’ fans ask? Look at this pick Alexander Semin, Chris Higgins, Alexander Steen, Cam Ward
Los Angeles Wally McBean (4th, 1987) Not a new lunch item at MickeyD’s Joe Sakic, Andrew Cassels, Mathieu Schneider, Luke Richardson
Minnesota (Wild/Stars) Brian Lawton (no. 1, 1983) The bridesmaid to Daigle Pat LaFontaine, Steve Yzerman, Tom Barrasso, Cam Neely
Montreal Terry Ryan (8th, 1995) Terry Hatcher would have looked better here Jarome Iginla, J.S. Giguere, Petr Sykora, Martin Biron
Nashville Brian Finley (6th, 1999) The day the music stopped in Honkeytonkville Barret Jackman, Martin Havlat, Mike Commodore, David Tanabe
New Jersey Adrian Foster (28th, 2001) Yo, Adrian! Legend has it that Foster wasn’t even on other teams’ lists — anywhere! Fedor Tyutin, Mike Cammalleri, Peter Budaj, Ray Emery, Patrick Sharp
NY Islanders Dave Chyzowski (2nd, 1989) Can’t blame Mad Mike for this one — he didn’t arrive until ‘95 Bill Guerin, Pavel Bure, Olaf Kolzig, Stu Barnes
NY Rangers Hugh Jessiman (12th, 2003) Hughe mistake! Brent Seabrook, Steve Bernier, Zach Parise, Ryan Getzlaf
Ottawa Alexander Daigle (no. 1, 1993) The Mother of all Misses; to “Daigle” in round one is every GM’s nightmare Chris Pronger, Paul Kariya, Todd Bertuzzi, Brendan Witt, Adam Deadmarsh
Philadelphia Claude Boivin (14th, 1988) Philly does real well in the first round; this year, not so much Rob Blake, Alexander Mogilny, Tony Amonte, Bret Hedican, Tie Domi
Phoenix Blake Wheeler ( 5th, 2004) Wheeler of misfortune; think Gretz & co. reached here? Rostislav Olesz, Alexander Radulov, Drew Stafford, Wojtek Wolski
Pittsburgh Zarley Zalapski (4th, 1980) ZZ FlopTop and agonizing alliteration Paul Coffey, Jari Kurri, Steve Larmer, Craig Ludwig, Brent Sutter
San Jose Pat Falloon (2nd, 1991) Plus, Pat had to don that original San Jose teal sweater on the ‘91 draft stage Scott Niedermayer, Peter Forsberg, Martin Lapointe, Brian Rolston, Alexei Kovalev
St. Louis Perry Turnbull (2nd, 1979) 188 goals in an NHL career is nothing to snicker at, but methinks Ray Bourque would have helped out more Ray Bourque, Mike Gartner, Brian Propp, Kevin Lowe
Tampa Alexander Svitov (3rd, 2001) Tampa (Nikita Alexeev) hasn’t exactly struck Lightning with first-round Russians Pascal Leclaire, Alex Hemsky, R.J. Umberger, Shaone Morrisonn
Toronto Gary Nylund (3rd, 1982) This is the stuff of Cup droughts Scott Stevens, Phil Housley, Dave Andreychuk, Doug Gilmour
Vancouver Jere Gillis (4th, 1978) The Canucks have no home-grown Hall of Famers, including Gillis Mark Napier, Don Maloney, Doug Wilson, Bengt Gustafsson
Washington Greg Joly ( no.1, 1974) Good Golly what a stinker! “The next Bobby Orr” it was said of Joly in ‘74. Umm, not so much. Clark Gillies, Pierre Larouche, Bryan Trottier, Doug Riesbrough

A Tradition That Ought To Lose Its Legs

I’m octpoi-ed out. Have had it with those Motor City slimers and the slime tosses of them. They wash up on our frozen shores whenever the Wings make a nice run, and sometimes before, and it’s an outdated tradition that is best retired.

They’re about the ugliest of sea creatures, and they’ve taken hold of postseason hockey — moreso this year than in any preceding. Thousands of tentacles, real and representative, are hanging from puckhead heads in the Midwest. I want our seas over-fished of them, their numbers imperiled, and the relevant government agency to enforce a ban on them in Detroit.

All we need is some pseudo study suggesting their numbers are diminishing, and our hyper-protective preservation instincts will halt the on-ice hurling. Better still, let’s have a single young girl suffer a bruise about her cheek from a mis-tossed cephalopod and the NHL will install Octo-detetctors at every portal.

Beginning next season, I’d like Wings’ fans to begin wearing hubcaps on their heads, as a demonstration of their renewed commitment to making a good domestic car again. They’re overdue on that endeavor by about 30 years. So less slimy, grotesque-looking fish and more reliable revving in MoTown. That would be a nice tradition that would never grow outdated.

I confess that back in the day, the octopus’ appearance was fresh and inventive. The beast first appeared on frozen pond in 1952, during the playoffs. In those Original Six days, a mere eight postseason wins were required to win Lord Stanley’s Cup, and the cephalopod was a nifty and novel representation of this. Today, though, we see eight legs hanging from embarrassing looking ballcaps in the first round.

Look at “Octopus Etiquette” in hockey as rendered at Wikipedia:

” . . . an octopus should be boiled for at least 20 minutes on high heat with a little lemon juice and white wine. This will mask the creature’s odor as well as reducing the amount of slime. A raw dead thrown octopus would result in a smelly ball that would stick to the ice upon impact and possibly leave an inky stain, while a well-boiled octopus will bounce and roll across the surface of the ice.”

Where’s PETA?

A decade-plus back, the Florida Panthers adopted a locker room rat as a sort of rally rat. The story goes that on opening night in ‘95-’96, a long-tailed critter scurried across the ‘Cats’ locker room, and Scott Mellanby actually one-timed the intruder against a wall, to its death. He went on to score two goals that night, and a tradition was born. Cats’ fans got into the act during the team’s unlikely run to the Stanley Cup Finals, hurling plastic rats onto the ice after home team goals throughout the postseason.

At one point during the ‘96 postseason, Sunrise staff had to sweep up more than 2,000 rubber rats off the ice. (Would that they were dispensed upon Verizon Center’s sheet for Game 7 last month, thereby improving it.)

It was novel and mildly amusing for about three weeks. And to their credit, perhaps because it was enforced with vigor, Panthers’ fans halted the hijinx. It also helped that virtually immediately after that postseason the ‘Cats perpetually fell out of postseason contention.

But this octopus gig, it’s got a staying power, and it’s beyond well worn now — to say nothing of its outdatedness and inaccuracy. Wings’ fans need a representative of 16 significant moments. Like an Elizabeth Taylor wedding invitation.

As OrderedChaos pointed out, “Did you notice that someone threw an octopus on the ice when the Wings scored their second goal to tie it at 2-2 in game 5? Talk about premature octopulation.” This practice is so Vanilla Ice now.

Euthanizing the octopus will be no easy endeavor, as ridding the ice of the literal eight-leggers means killing off the figurative one — Al the Octopus. But we euthanized the San Diego Chicken, and he was a heck of a lot more popular.

A Capital Week Begins on June 9

Comcast SportsNet is serving up a summer treat for Capitals fans next week. Each weeknight at 7:00 p.m. CSN will show a key game in the Caps’ incredible worst-to-first run into the playoffs, along with new commentary/insights from Joe Beninati each night.

I for one will be granting those April 5 & April 11 games the coveted “Save Until I Delete” designation on my DVR . . . the energy of those nights was unparalleled in Verizon Center history, and the 11th was my wife’s first NHL playoff game.

From the press release:

Capitals: Season to Remember debuts as the network airs coach Bruce Boudreau’s first game as head coach of the Washington Capitals from November 23, 2007 — the start of an incredible run in which Boudreau took the Capitals from last place in the Eastern Conference to a Southeast Division title.

Capitals: Season to Remember, June 9-13, 7 p.m.

Monday, June 9: November 23 at Philadelphia Flyers

Tuesday, June 10: March 21 at Atlanta Thrashers

Wednesday, June 11: April 5 vs. Florida Panthers

Thursday, June 12: April 11 vs. Philadelphia Flyers (Game 1)

Friday, June 13: April 22 vs. Philadelphia Flyers (Game 7)

Savoring the Historic Week That Was

Some time near 8:30 Friday night, Capitals’ fans, having spent weeks residing in a purgatory of indeterminate postseason fate, received an invitation from an seraphim angel named Radek Dvorak to enter an unearthly realm of ecstasy.

At that moment in Raleigh, North Carolina, at 19:48 of period 2, while his team was playing for nothing but pride, the Florida Panthers’ right winger ripped a low wrist shot past Carolina Hurricanes’ netminder Cam Ward to stake the ‘Cats to an unlikely 4-2 lead. The shorthanded tally sucked the life out of a sold-out HBC Center. It also occasioned a big surge in beer swigging and the hugging of strangers by Caps’ fans following in Washington.

A win Friday night and the ‘Canes would have secured the Southeast division title — their third since 2002. Two hours earlier, failure in that endeavor seemed unfathomable; this was a team that had spent all but about two weeks in first place in the Southeast, was just two seasons removed from a Stanley Cup victory, and now had on its heels a Capitals’ team that had known only last-place finishes the last three seasons.

Hockey hopes spring eternal in spring in many parts, but not these. That’s the legacy within which the Era of Ovechkin dawned. And true to script, during Friday’s third period Panther after Panther made a parade to the penalty box, their two-goal lead eventually halved and netminder Craig Anderson under a near 50-shot seige. A spring of supreme stress here coalesced into a dungeon of the highest duress. Samsanov Agonistes.

“In Washington,” one of the Hurricanes’ broadcasters commented early in period 3, “the clock can’t move fast enough.”

Truer words were never spoken. Eventually the game clock in Carolina arrived at zero, Pinehurst no. 3 beckoning the ‘Canes, and in that instant, Caps’ fans were removed from all past April ills and into a springtime Friday night frenzy the likes of which they hadn’t seen since 1998. A Friday night of free-flowing frothies and free love — with perhaps dozens of little babies named Radek arriving at Sibley and Suburban next winter.

Saturday morning HockeyWashington awoke to a surreal reality: seeing the Caps, with a victory that night, move from ninth in the East to third. Better still, the Capitals’ fate was at long last in their own Misson hockey gloves. Actually, by virtue of Carolina’s Friday night flop the Caps technically were already in third, by virtue of playing fewer games and being tied at 92 points with the ‘Canes, but Saturday night’s game against Florida was the team’s final exam on the season — worth 90 percent of its grade.

Red OutIf Friday night was a sudden shockwave to the league standings, Tuesday night at Verizon Center was a sonic boom and a one-color kaleidoscope of unity delivered by a region ignited by an amazing sports story. One sensed within a rapidly enlargening hockey supporting community here a collective hunger to get behind a buzz-generating team. The Redskins lost more than they won under Joe Gibbs II. There’s a pedestrian quality to the Wizards — no longer really bad, but never really good, either. The ‘Nats are rebuilding and years away from contending. On Tuesday night in Verizon Center sports Washington was represented in unprecedented volume and unified uniform.

The home crowds for hockey have been growing and large for a couple of months now, but Tuesday’s ranked in another supportive realm. It was so startling to see the Sea of Red precisely because so many enemy sweaters had long filled so many home seats. If there were 18,000 fannies in the seats Tuesday night, 17,500 of them were Caps’ supporters.

“That was the best [home] crowd I’ve ever seen,” Mike Vogel told me over the weekend.

Better than the white-out postseason crowds of the powerful late ’80s Caps’ clubs at Capital Center?

“Those crowds weren’t loud like Tuesday’s,” Vogs added.

All we knew when the team returned home from its spectacularly successful six-game road trip was that it would play before large crowds here — likely, sellouts. We had no idea that the stands-shaking Redskins crowds of raucous old RFK would at last get a run for their rancor on F St.

For hockey.

Late on Wednesday afternoon the Caps’ communications staff, struggling perhaps like the fanbase to keep up with the speed of the hockey’s team’s ascent, announced the continuation of home Red Outs. The modest delay may have played a role in Thursday night’s home environment for Tampa: quite good, but not nearly as Red, not nearly as ear-splitting. The Caps’ nerves on ice that night, too, had a hand in quieting the mood a bit.

For some among HockeyWashington, Saturday’s first eighteen hours were a painful crawl toward a determinative destiny, while for others, savoring suddenly arrived at salvation, time couldn’t stand still enough. After all, morning paper reading, home cleaning, and car oil changing were all performed in third place. I imagined a Saturday morning Sea of Caps’ caps at Costco, among Saturday household chore performing the Red Army wearing the Capitals’ relic Old School look of a failure past now transformed in mere hours’ time into something fresh, vibrant, honor-bestowing, and most especially hip.

Chinatown was Red with anticipation at 4:05. I saw it.

Arriving early in Verizon Center’s press lounge, I surveyed beat media to see where Saturday night ranked in their list of most significant sporting events they’d personally covered. For the Washington Times’ Corey Masisak, only two events — the ACC basketball tournament won by underdog Maryland a few years back and his first Army-Navy football game rivaled the hockey he’d chronicled this March and April and most especially this past week.

“Maryland was like the 6 seed and they went down beat the numbers one, two, and three [seeds],” he told me.

WTOP’s Jonathon Warner has been involved in professional sports journalism for more than 30 years. For him, Saturday night had only George Mason’s Cinderella run in the NCAAs two years back as a rival to the Revival in Red.

“This is huge — this run they’re on, it’s actually given me chills of late,” Warner told me.

“You can feel the buzz,” Steve Kolbe told me. “Washington, D.C., as a whole has grown as a hockey town. That puck drops tonight, we’ll all have goosebumps.”

The Times’ Thom Loverro told me that in his 16 years at the paper Saturday night’s game “ranked right up there” among all regular season games he’d followed in Washington.

Next I asked the Washington Post’s Tarik El Bashir.

“I think you heard me down in the press room earlier tonight ask, has there been another comeback this dramatic in Washington pro sports history?”

“This team was left for dead on Thanksgiving day,” he added.

Tarik’s covered the Indy 500, “where you have 350,000 people,” he noted. But when he considered the lead-up to Saturday night, all of the must-wins the Caps had to have, Saturday raced to the top of his biggest games list.

“We awoke a sleeping giant here,” owner Leonsis, clad again in red, observed late Saturday night. That was a most pleasant observation to encounter Sunday morning, confirming that last week really wasn’t just a dream.

SE Division Champions: Caps 3 / Cats 1

Unleash the Fury

Skill, Check; Heart, Check; Leadership, Check; Saturday Night, We’d Like Lady Luck as Well

How Does a 5-1 Roadtrip Sound? Caps 3, Cats 0

The Stretch Run, Revisited - Eastern Conference Playoff Bubble

Four days have passed since our original Stretch Run post, so an update to The Playoff Picture table seems in order. The Panthers have stumbled, their loss to Atlanta likely ending their post-season hopes. But not much else has changed as Washington, Buffalo, Boston, Carolina, and Philadelphia have gone 6-1-1 so far this week.

Games are picked as “Toss-Ups,” “Likely Wins,” and “Likely Losses” in the OFB column–original predictions are unchanged for the games already played, but we’ve reevaluated some of the others. We’ve also updated the analysis and added a Results column to track the games played.

The Capitals have fought to within just two points of Philly, Boston, and Carolina; but all three of those teams have a game in hand over the Caps, so the road to the playoffs remains long, and winding. Still, if Washington can continue its winning ways, a post-season berth is certainly within reach.

Looking at the remaining schedule, it seems the only “three-point games” results that could put a double-whammy on the Capitals’ run for 8th are the two Boston-Buffalo tilts . . . and, for a shot at the Southeast crown, the Caps need to beat the Hurricanes in regulation on April Fools’ Day at the Phone Booth.

Here, then, is the updated playoff picture. We’ll revisit it early next week; in the meantime, your input is always appreciated.

The Playoff Picture: Eastern Bubble Teams’ Remaining Games
Team Date H/A Vs. OFB Res Analysis Playoff Chances
Washington 3/25
3/27
3/29
4/1
4/3
4/5
Away
Away
Away
Home
Home
Home
Carolina
Tampa
Florida
Carolina
Tampa Bay
Florida
TU
LW
TU
TU
LW
TU
W
W
.
.
.
.
The Cardiac Caps won the past two in heart-rending fashion, but four points are still four points. The Capitals must take advantage of a disheartened Panthers team on Saturday, since they certainly aren’t receiving help from the teams ahead in the standings. Once the circus leaves town, the Greatest Show on Ice can return home for their final three games.
8th Seed?
Carolina 3/25
3/28
3/29
4/1
4/2
4/4
Home
Home
Away
Away
Home
Home
Washington
Atlanta
Tampa Bay
Washington
Tampa Bay
Florida
TU
LW
LW
TU
TU
LW
OTL
W
L
.
.
.
Suddenly the SE Division Title is no longer a foregone conclusion for Carolina, with only two points separating them and the Capitals. However, they do have a game in hand on the Caps and face the two worst teams in the East this weekend, so they still hold the reins.
SE Div Champs?
Florida 3/25
3/27
3/29
4/1
4/4
4/5
Away
Home
Home
Away
Away
Away
Tampa
Atlanta
Washington
Atlanta
Carolina
Washington
TU
LW
TU
LW
LL
TU
L
L
.
.
.
.
While not mathematically eliminated yet, two straight losses — and 3 of 4 remaining on the road — pretty much guarantees the Panthers’ playoff drought will continue.
Done
Boston 3/25
3/27
3/29
3/30
4/2
4/4
4/5
Away
Home
Home
Away
Away
Away
Home
Toronto
Toronto
Ottawa
Buffalo
NJD
Ottawa
Buffalo
TU
LW
TU
TU
LL
LL
LW
W
W
.
.
.
.
.
Boston had an auspicious start this week, eliminating the Leafs and getting four must-have points in the process. Their road gets tougher now as they face a Senators team struggling to hold home ice advantage, then go to Buffalo where the Sabres are fighting for their playoff lives.
Golf in early April?
Buffalo 3/25
3/27
3/28
3/30
4/1
4/3
4/5
Home
Away
Home
Home
Away
Away
Away
Ottawa
Ottawa
Montreal
Boston
Toronto
Montreal
Boston
TU
LL
LL
TU
TU
LL
LL
L
W
.
.
.
.
.
The Sabres could not afford to lose both games versus Ottawa — and they didn’t. While Buffalo collapsed in the 3rd at home, they staged an impressive Shootout win in Canada’s capital last night. But 4 of 5 against Montreal and Boston likely spells the end of their run unless Ryan Miller notches a couple shutouts.
Golf in early April?
Philadelphia 3/25
3/28
3/29
4/2
4/4
4/6
Away
Away
Away
Away
Home
Home
NYR
NJD
NYI
Pittsburgh
NJD
Pittsburgh
LL
TU
LW
LL
TU
TU
W
OTL
W
.
.
.
A good start for the Flyers, and tonight they face a bruised-and-battered Devils team coming off a heartbreaker of a loss to the Rangers (though one should never bet against Brodeur). Then the black and orange go to Long Island on Saturday for another winnable game. And they’d better win, as their last three games are exceedingly difficult.
7th Seed?

A Stretch Run That Could Yield a Southeast Facelift

Take a look at the records of these Southeast division teams in their last 10 games:

Carolina: 8-2-0; Washington: 7-3-0; Florida: 8-1-1

That’s a .766 winning percentage by the division’s top three teams in crunch time. All three have entered March as lions. These seem more like performances by Southbeasts than teams from the “Southleast.”

 Washington has wins over Nashville, Boston, Calgary, and Buffalo during its run. Carolina took down Ottawa (badly), Chicago, Minnesota, and Buffalo. Florida bested Boston, Pittsburgh, and the Rangers recently. It’s not like these three clubs have been feasting on bottom-dwellers. The result is that, whereas three weeks ago conventional wisdom had only the Southeast winner earning a postseason berth, today there’s serious talk of all three teams qualifying.

Likely that will prove difficult. All three teams, beginning this week, close out their schedules with Southeast-exclusive slates. With a sufficient number of “three-point” games between them, and with the backsliding Bs, the Flyers and Sabres closing out with conspicuously tough matchups, it’s conceivable, but odds are that at least one Southeast club will cool off coming home. Right?

The Southeast has a long, long way to go before achieving anything approaching the respect the East’s other divisions enjoy, but if it is able to qualify more than just its division winner for the playoffs, and if over the next two weeks we see some fantastically competitive and compelling games among the three contenders, it’s difficult to imagine serious hockey fans giving the division more of the back of their hands.

Maybe Alexander Ovechkin is going to raise more than just hockey’s profile in the District, and take his team’s division along for the fun ride as well.

Here’s a look at the way the season’s final half-dozen games break down for contenders for three playoff spots — 3rd, 7th, and 8th — in the East. We’ve identified games at “Toss-Ups,” “Likely Wins,” and “Likely Losses.”

Eastern Contenders’ Remaining Games- as of March 24
Team Date H/A Vs. Res Analysis Playoff Chances
Washington 3/25
3/27
3/29
4/1
4/3
4/5
Away
Away
Away
Home
Home
Home
Carolina
Tampa
Florida
Carolina
Tampa Bay
Florida
TU
LW
LL
TU
LW
TU
Three road games followed by three to finish at home, with the goal being to still be in the hunt when the team returns to Verizon Center. Intriguing storylines: AO may already have a Hart Trophy locked up, but if he carries the Caps to the postseason, that vote may be unanimous? Second: how will Gabby rotate his no. 1 netminders?
8th Seed?
Carolina 3/25
3/28
3/29
4/1
4/2
4/4
Home
Home
Away
Away
Home
Home
Washington
Atlanta
Tampa Bay
Washington
Tampa Bay
Florida
TU
LW
LW
TU
TU
TU
The Canes’ mission couldn’t be clearer: win four of their final six games and they’re assured of the Southeast division crown and the no. 3 seed. And they play four of the final six at home. Nothing’s guaranteed in this dogfight, but of the teams in this list Carolina seems most assured of a post-season appearance.
SE Div Champs?
Florida 3/25
3/27
3/29
4/1
4/4
4/4
Away
Home
Home
Away
Away
Away
Tampa
Atlanta
Washington
Atlanta
Carolina
Washington
TU
LW
LW
LW
LL
TU
The ‘Cats have some pretty smooth skating all the way until the regular season’s final weekend, when they play back-to-back on the road in Carolina and Washington. Seems imperative for them to win all four that precede . . . which is a tall order.
Golf in early April?
Boston 3/25
3/27
3/29
3/30
4/2
4/4
4/5
Away
Home
Home
Away
Away
Away
Home
Toronto
Toronto
Ottawa
Buffalo
NJD
Ottawa
Buffalo
TU
LW
TU
LL
LL
LL
TU
Seven games remaining, and not an easy-breather within. Especially trying trio of road games (Buffalo, NJ, Ottawa) to close out March and begin April. Patrice Bergeron is skating with the Bs but not taking contact — he’s an unlikely addition for the tough closing stretch, and the team will miss him.
Golf in early April?
Buffalo 3/25
3/27
3/28
3/30
4/1
4/3
4/5
Home
Away
Home
Home
Away
Away
Away
Ottawa
Ottawa
Montreal
Boston
Toronto
Montreal
Boston
TU
LL
TU
LW
TU
LL
TU
The good news for Buffalo is that they have seven games remaining. The bad news is that all seven opponents have winning records, and four of the games are on the road. It’s simply a very tough final stretch.
Golf in early April?
Philadelphia 3/25
3/28
3/29
4/2
4/4
4/6
Away
Away
Away
Away
Home
Home
NYR
NJD
NYI
Pittsburgh
NJD
Pittsburgh
LL
LL
LW
LL
TU
TU
Four straight road games in the middle of the Flyers’ home stretch — three of them against toughies the Rags, Devils, and Pens. The East’s most inconsistent team in the season’s second half has demonstrated a conspicuous inability to close out games. But they’re atop the heap of wanna-bes this morning, and their recent strong play rebounding from a near-crushing 10-game losing streak should carry them in.
7th Seed?

A Grade of C+ on the Crucial Road Swing through the South

I’m sticking to my prediction: on game days, it’s antacid through early April for Caps’ fans. Jonathon Warner of 3WT asked me last night to predict the Southeast division’s resolution, so of course I told him I’d get back to him around April 5. Near that evening’s end.

Of a possible six points among this week’s three divisional road games I thought three the baseline for a passing grade. Insomuch as Alexander Ovechkin was magnificently neutralized by both Florida Friday night and Tampa last evening, and the team displayed great gumption in salvaging regulation-time victory from the jaws of an infuriating overtime Saturday (and more Tums and Pepto for Washingtonians), I’m grading the gang out at C+.

I fielded calls and email from out-on-the-ledgers after Friday night’s loss in Florida. That was a game determined by a miscue (a Mike Green whiff) and a bad bounce (on BJ’s left post). But generally speaking, the Caps would rather face Detroit or Ottawa than the Florida Panthers. Since the lockout, the teams have faced each other 22 times. The Caps have won a grand total of six of those games. Six. It doesn’t seem much to matter that Roberto Luongo is no longer in South Florida — it’s a mean moon rising for the Caps in Sunrise.

At least three compelling storylines emerged from this roadtrip. The most obvious, in light of his first-star effort last night, is Olie Kolzig’s revitalization. The Washington Times’ Corey Masisak this morning notes that the 37-year-old netminder “is now 11-3-2 since Christmas. [He] has allowed a total of 10 goals in his past five games.” He’s in a groove for sure, and the consistency and game-stealing he’s displaying gives one ample evidence to believe that the rotation with BJ that Bruce Boudreau has insisted on in 2008 is paying big-time dividends. Yes the Caps would have liked more than three points from this trip, but if they arrive in mid-March with a fit and sharp no. 1 netminder — all things injuries being somewhat equal — you have to like their chances in the race for the division crown.

Sami Lepisto made his NHL debut last night, and his 14 minutes of ice time seemed in their impact more like 24. He displayed the poise and mobility and deft puck distribution that had Hershey Bears’ officials and fans raving about him. It was only one game, but it was a very good one on a must-win night, and Lepisto’s resume in his first season of North American pro hockey is stellar. He skated a +27 with the Bears and put up almost a point per game (32 points in 38 games, good for 4th on the team in scoring) as a rookie rearguard — much of those numbers accumulated while Hershey’s blueline was decimated by injuries.

A third-round selection in the 2004 bumper crop of Caps’ Entry Draft picks, Lepisto represents one of the more intriguing prospects in the entire Caps’ organization. For whatever reason the Caps have seldom selected Finns, in an era when that small, Scandanavian, hockey-mad outpost has delivered scores of smart, sturdy defenders, reliable two-way forwards, and the odd stud goalie to the NHL. Prior to coming over to North America, Lepisto had three full seasons of experience in Finland’s top pro league with Helsinki Jokerit. (The team, incidentally, that beginning next season will be coached by Glen Hanlon.) Contending NHL teams need not only to select well in round one each June but to pick up serviceable players intermittently in later rounds. As a young pro hockey player Sami Lepisto already looks a good deal more than serviceable.

Another non-first-rounder, Tomas Fleischmann, may have announced his comfort zone arrival as a productive top-6 NHL forward on the road trip. The owner of a new two-year contract, Flash had 2 goals and an assist in the three games and looked a lot like his did in the AHL the past two seasons — among the best players on the ice each night. So many hockey fans render etched-in-stone verdicts on players’ value and potential from an opening 50 or 100 NHL games. Alexander Semin, for instance, had 10 goals in his first 50-plus games as a rookie. Fleischmann is from the same draft class, and now has 8 goals in 56 games on the season. Flash is particularly important to the Caps as a skilled winger on the left side should the unthinkable in terms of injury take place. The Caps didn’t give him a new two-year, one-way deal out of a sense of charity.

So the old and new came through on an important road swing through the South. On the radio last night studio host Jonathon Warner a few times used the word “separation” as Caps’ fans hoped it would relate to the team’s fortunes on this road trip. Mike Vogel, calling in from Tampa, was quick to dispel us all from such a silly notion. New data arrived this week further confirming that this will be the springtime of our disquiet.

NBC Not on Ovechkin Bandwagon

NHL on NBCThe Alexander Ovechkin Bandwagon does not have NBC Sports as a passenger, at least not yet. They have passed on the Capitals / Rangers matchup for their Game of the Week on February 10th and will show Anaheim at Detriot. Comcast SportsNet has added the Caps/Rags game to its broadcast schedule.NHL Network logo

Additionally, U.S. viewers in markets outside of Washington, D.C. will be able to watch the three February games on the NHL Network. Those games are the 6th at Philadelphia, 15th at Florida, and the 20th vs. the New York Islanders.

A Tale of Two Western Canadian Gunslingers

There were two legitmate, impact no.1 defensemen on the ice at Verizon Center last night, one playing for Florida and one for the Caps: Jay Bouwmeester and Mike Green. Can you imagine suggesting that that would have been the case just three months ago? Next, imagine having suggested this back in October: between the two, Mike Green, 22, would early in 2008 be the greater impact no.1, and that going forward one could rationally suggest he’ll tally more points, more All Star game selections, and perhaps even more Norris Trophies than Big Bouw over the course of their respective NHL careers.

Or am I being irrational? 

BigBouw.jpgIt’s perhaps impossible to overstate the impact that the arrival of Bruce Boudreau has had on the Caps, and it’s true that Alexander Ovechkin’s third season in the NHL has been his best – positively Hart Trophy candidate worthy and a catalyst for the team’s playoff contention. But winning hockey can’t be a one-man show, even double-shifted, and if you really want to know why the Caps are as dangerous as they are these days, consider that their attack is double-barreled, launched from the back end by the 22-year-old Calgary native who, at the other end of the ice, slings heavy lead with his point blasts and pinched-in pulverizers.   

To truly appreciate Mike Green’s meteoric rise this season and its impact on the Caps — now and going forward – I think you have to consider his standing versus a prized young talent leading the blueline of a division foe, one who was a lottery pick, and one whose pedigree and early aura rivaled those of any blueline prospect to enter the league in the last 20 years. 

I perused my copy of THN’s 2002 NHL Entry Draft preview issue this weekend — Bouwmeester was selected third overall in Toronto that summer — and was reminded of the outsized accolades that accompanied the Medicine Hat, Alta., native. Page 7: “He is a Paul Coffey-esque glider in the body of Paul Bunyan, an intuitively gifted 6-foot-3, 206-pound defenseman who can control the tempo of a game with exceptional stamina, poise and hockey sense.”

Paul Bunyan? Iconic Canadian media in the business of assessing high-end, home-grown hockey talent at times get carried away, no?

If you altered the physical dimensions downward a bit in Bouwmeester’s profile, and replaced the Bunyan allusion with say a punked up version of Steve McQueen, you’d actually have the letter-perfect description of third-year pro Mike Green, selected 29th overall two years after Bouwmeester. 

Mike GreenThe stats back it up. Both players have enjoyed perfect health this season, playing in all of their team’s games. Through 49 games Bouwmeester has 8 goals and 10 assists while skating a -3. Reasonably nice numbers on a mediocre hockey club. In 47 games with the Caps Green has accumulated 14 goals and 16 assists, skating a -2, and garnered the attention of the entire hockey world, splashy U.S. sports press like SI and ESPN, and caused a lot of indigestion and heartache among nearly 30 general managers who passed on him in 2004.  

But it isn’t just the pure tally of superior numbers that suggests that Green may already be the better no. 1 gun. It’s how he acquires them. Not since Sergei Gonchar have the Caps possessed so dynamic a presence from the point. And while both possess distinctive mobility and elite offensive hockey sense, that comparison doesn’t do justice to Green’s revolutionizing the blueline QB position as he has this season. Gonchar never possessed Green’s wrist-shot-bomb that has him and his Gang Green mates in the stands celebrating before the opposing netminder realizes he’s been beaten. Green’s gone Cloverfield in the opponents’ zone this season.

Big numbers in hockey are at times put up by one-season wonders. But what’s in Green’s toolbox hardly suggests flash-in-the-pan. His skating is sublime — his puck-cradling crossover footwork while QB-ing worth the price of admission alone. He has a howitzer. His pinching knack is here to stay — or improve. The fun has just begun.     

What did the 2004 THN Draft Guide have to say about Green? He is widely believed to have been available to the Caps so late in 2004’s first round because he played on a notoriously bad Saskatoon Blades team. As in, 7-52-11-2 bad. The profile overall was positive if understated:

 ”Green is small for a defenseman, but he never gives an inch. He’s a tenacious battler who can quarterback a power play.” [You think?]

“Good shot, good vision and just a wasted year,” is how one scout put it.

“There are an awful lot of positives considering he has a bad year on a bad team,” said a scout. “He showed a lot of character on a team that lacked leadership.”

Make no mistake, Bouwmeester is a terrific defenseman, and perhaps 25 teams would like to have him as their no. 1. I just don’t think the Caps would part with theirs to get him.

Caps Back to .500: Caps 5 / Cats 3

2 Point Toast

Hockey Night in Washington, Hunting for .500

Ran a bit of an open file last Saturday night in Hershey, where the public transportation is harmonious, and so a week later in a different league and rink, I thought it might be fun again.

Racing down Connecticut Ave., largely unimpeded, toward an early dinner in Chinatown tonight, I thought about all the victims underground who might not have seen our advisory of yesterday and today. Dante’s Inferno, Canto III:

Through me you pass into the city of woe:

Through me you pass into eternal pain

There is a fabulous crowd assembled for these fearsome Florida Panthers. This is January’s only date with a Southeast division foe. Comment amongst yourselves about that.

The Caps’ mission tonight is clear: arrive at .500. The visitors secured an improbable road win at Prudential Center last night, while the Caps rested. Georgetown hoops played here at noon, so I’m keeping an eye out for bouncing pucks early on.

6:49 in, we have a home tally: Kozlov’s 5th of the season, from Mike Green, who definitely shouldn’t be an NHL All Star, and Nicklas Backstrom, who actually deserved two assists on the play. Just when it looked like the short-handed Panthers had the clear, Backstrom managed to thwart the outlet attempt and keep the puck in the zone. He then ran the half boards QB with his usual stellar composure and earned a deceiving secondary assist.

Less than a minute later, John Erskine tallies, at even strength, from Steckel and Laing. I told my bloggermates and ice chums yesterday and today that I thought this game could go big for the Caps, and so far it’s looking that way. 2-0 home team.

Will Thursday night’s 4-goal second period be matched — or exceeded — by tonight’s first? Viktor Kozlov is on pace for 12 goals tonight. He was on the puck that had just been dropped to Vokoun’s left in an instant, and less than an instant later it was in the back of the Panthers’ net. Backstrom with another assist. It’s 3-0 Caps and we’re barely past the halfway mark of the first.

A late Erskine hooking penalty didn’t end up blighting an outstanding first period for the Caps. 3-0 home team after one. I will be interested to see if they bring a comparable intensity and drive in period two, and perhaps put this game away.

Idle thoughts at Intermission: from the Caps’ media pros: Bruce Boudreau’s 14 victories in his first 25 games are the most for any coach in Capitals’ history. Wow. Among those who had 13 victories in their first 25 games were Ron Wilson and Jim Schoenfeld . . . I think it might have been Tarik who’d recently suggested that the Caps needed eight out of a possible ten points on this homestand. That’s looking pretty achievable right now. Continue reading ›

Strong Effort Rewarded, Finally: Caps 2, Cats 1